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Whooooooaah. I just recorded two back-to-back videos for CR; much less prepared material than previous videos, this was two consecutive hours six-tabling $2/4 with a view to getting into interesting turn and river spots against tough players. It turned out to be more about interesting preflop spots, or, rather, stupid preflop spots, as I got 3-bet by everyone at the table, all the time, and when I chose to 4-bet light I happened to be up against aces every time. I made a couple of bad mistakes during the video and some high-variance low EV moves, but I'm ok with the way I played. I made a point of ignoring game selection for the purposes of the video, and it shows.
Looking forward to Paris - we leave on saturday morning. My live game is coming along quite nicely, and I'm anticipating roughing up these frenchies quite badly in all games.
For anyone who watches, the latest episode of Flight of the Conchords is pretty funny. This season has been very hit and miss, and it's very deadpan (not the kind of humour I expect many yanks to get), but on the whole, very enjoyable.
On poker. I don't think it's amazingly interesting or insightful, and it doesn't really have any significant impact on how we play, but I found it interesting that, if we're playing well, we're more likely to get lucky, and if we're playing badly, we're more likely to get unlucky. That's not to say that you win more all-in preflop 50/50s because you're reading the other guy - try as you might, maths just doesn't work that way. To show you why this is the case, though, consider a standard six-sided die. We'll say that I'm playing well, and you're playing badly, and my edge is roughly 1/3 per spin, which means that I win if we roll 1-4, and you win if we roll 5 or 6, and it's for even money, so my expectation for every individual roll is to make 1/3 a bet, and yours is to lose 1/3. However we never win a fraction of a bet, we either win a bet or lose a bet; 2/3 of the time, I win one bet which is above my expectation of 2/3. Conversely, 2/3 of the time, you lose one bet, which is running below your expectation of 1/3. Edges are smaller in poker, especially when you talk of the 'long run' (up there with 'fold equity' in the echelon of massively misunderstood terms in poker), but the same concept applies, in that, the better you play, the better your range fares against your opponents, and vice-versa. Therefore, the better you play, the more likely you are to perform above expectation, and the worse you play, the more likely you are to run bad, which then leads to tilt, which leads to more bad play, etc etc.... in this context, it doesn't seem that difficult to understand why a lot of players (me included) have gone on very long breakeven stretches, in my case, more than 55k hands last year.
On CR, again. Apparently people liked my last PokerEV hand review video! I don't understand what you people want, lol. I guess you want me to churn through each hand pretty quickly, as opposed to my preferred method of uberdetail, presenting all the possible reasons I might choose to make each play, and how much each factor affected my decision. As mentioned, it takes roughly 10 hours of preparation for each hour of pokerev video, so it's not something I'm going to be doing that often, but I have a bunch of interesting tournament HHs provided by a CR member so I'll probably be doing that at some point.
This is Wazz, signing off for cardrunners.com. Oh, wait, this isn't a video.
Fly, you fools!
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