matnewman's Blog


January 17 2011

5000 hands - break even - woo!

0

So having dropped 11 buy-ins at the low point (after ~3k hands) I'm now break even ;-)

rush2011b_400

Really, there's not much to it other than hitting sets and getting paid off with big pairs.

One nice variant to stave off the boredom is to play the "I'm a donk, no really I am" line thus:

Full Tilt, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - Hand Details


MP2: $21.51 (215.1 bb)
MP3: $11.55 (115.5 bb)
CO: $13.04 (130.4 bb)
BTN: $13.95 (139.5 bb)
SB: $24.81 (248.1 bb)
BB: $2.50 (25 bb)
UTG+1: $12.44 (124.4 bb)
Hero (UTG+2): $14.06 (140.6 bb)
MP1: $4 (40 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with 7 of spades 7 of clubs
UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.30, MP3 calls $0.30, 4 folds

Flop: ($1.05) Q of hearts 7 of hearts 8 of diamonds (3 players)
Hero bets $0.40, MP2 calls $0.40, MP3 calls $0.40

Turn: ($2.25) 2 of clubs (3 players)
Hero bets $0.40, MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $1, Hero raises to $13.36 and is all-in, MP3 calls $9.85

River: ($26.46) 9 of clubs (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $26.46 pot ($1.59 rake)
Final Board: Q of hearts 7 of hearts 8 of diamonds 2 of clubs 9 of clubs
MP2 mucked and lost (-$0.70 net)
MP3 showed Q of clubs J of clubs and lost (-$11.55 net)
Hero showed 7 of spades 7 of clubs and won $24.87 ($10.81 net)

The reason I know this line works is I fall for it when it's the other way round. E.g. I open UTG and get min 3-bet from middle position - they've got AA or KK a lot and are fishing for the original raiser to come over the top. So now I just call and check-fold if I miss (I'm assuming no-one who reads this is going to be playing 10NL Rush much! If you are, you can have my 50c).

Finally it occurred to me that Rush poker is a great example of variance. Normally if you 4 table say, then you're in four pretty different games - different line ups, table dynamics, table images etc. So any variation in your results between the table is hard to pin down - maybe it's the other players, how you are adjusting (or not) to them, the cards or something else. Now with Rush you're playing 4 copies of exactly the same game - same opponents, same table dynamics, same image (i.e. mostly none or derived from a HUD). So the only thing to explain something like this:

rushvar_400

is the inherent variance in the game. Which just goes to show how big a factor variance is going to be.

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matnewman
matnewman , Member Since '06

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