gallon21's Blog


June 19 2008

So Im a luckbox

0

Just been messing around with poker EV and it looks like I'm a luckbox, I'm running about $1500 above expectation this week in my last 30 all in hands.

The best thing about this graph is the dip in the blue line from 3k down to 1800 but the red line stays pretty constant, I'm pretty sure this was a session I played the other day where I just couldn't win a hand. I had to get up and take a break a couple of times because it was so frustrating, I did manage to go from 1200 down to $17 down though so I was pretty happy with that.


Couple of bigish hands I lost in the session.

1.Here we end up flipping kinda deep at a 100 buy in 1/2 table but my equity vs his range is huge, I'm only ever a big dog to a complete 569T wrap.

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter http://www.deucescracked.com/?referrer=converter_2p2">Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $79.55
Hero (BB): $422.25
UTG: $97.65
MP: $123.20
CO: $181.00
BTN: $466.60

Pre Flop: Hero is BB with A 6 8 5
UTG calls $2, 2 folds, BTN raises to $9, 1 fold, Hero raises to $30, 1 fold, BTN calls $21

Flop: ($63.00) 7 K 8(2 players)
Hero bets $50, BTN raises to $160, Hero raises to $392.25 all in, BTN calls $232.25

Turn: ($847.50) T

River: ($847.50) AFinal Pot: $847.50
Hero shows As 6d 8d 5s (two pair, Aces and Eights)
BTN shows Kh 6c Kc 3h (three of a kind, Kings)
BTN wins $844.50
(Rake: $3.00)

2.This is vs a hyper aggro Villan, his flop peel is complete spew, I think hes raising this turn because he has 44 for the blockers to the straight but with a gutshot, 2 pair and both flush draws and especially vs him I'm never folding here, he gets lucky and hits one of his 3 outs.

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter http://www.deucescracked.com/?referrer=converter_2p2">Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (UTG): $400.00
CO: $173.65
BTN: $376.20
SB: $402.70
BB: $76.65

Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with 7 K 5 Q
Hero raises to $7, 1 fold, BTN calls $7, SB calls $6, BB calls $5

Flop: ($28.00) 6 Q 3(4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $28, BTN calls $28, SB folds, BB folds

Turn: ($84.00) 5(2 players)
Hero bets $68, BTN raises to $288, Hero raises to $365 all in, BTN calls $53.20 all in

River: ($766.40) 7

Final Pot: $766.40
Hero shows 7s Kc 5c Qs (two pair, Queens and Sevens)
BTN shows 3c 4c 9c 4d (a straight, Seven high)
BTN wins $763.40

I had my best month this year at PLO last month and I'm about $1k short of that with 11 days to go so fingers crossed.

In real life, I moved house last year and because of that I was having to pay my bills direct instead of by direct debit from my bank account. So a couple of months ago I get a water bill for £250/$500, now theres only me in the house and I left my washing machine in my old house when I sold it, so my mother had been doing my washing, which means the only water I used was for showering and flushing the toilet.

So I rang them up paid the bill and asked them to install a water meter. This morning I got a cheque from them for £220/$440, so they had only overcharged me by about %1100 !!!

Anyway it feels like free money so hookers and blow time!!

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gallon21 , Member Since '06

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