November 11, 2008

7th - 11th November

Blog by : Alexdb
0

Today I have just started getting back into regular cash games after 12 days spent moving house, buying and putting together furniture, and playing the LEOCOP tournaments. I'll elaborate below, but first I want to quickly mention a huge philosophical/logical mistake that I keep seeing otherwise lucid people make in everyday discussion.

It's about the idea that we should "respect other people's beliefs" (I'm undecided if I mean people's or peoples' - perhaps both?). People often say it to me because I'm not too shy about pointing out when someone holds an incorrect viewpoint. They say that an opinion can't be idiotic because it's -an opinion-, and they are entitled to it.

The mistake that these people are making is failing to discern the subjects that are valid matters of opinion. They are presumably just repeating this mantra without thinking about it because that's the way they have been taught it, AND it makes them sound like good, liberal, inclusive, tolerant people.

Here's an example to illustrate the point: 3 people are looking at an oil painting. Person A thinks it's beautiful, person B thinks it's ugly, and person C thinks that it's an unusually-shaped turnip and not an oil painting at all.

In this case person A respects person B's opinion and his right to hold it, but agrees to disagree. Since it is regarding artistic taste there isn't a correct answer and their opinions can't be conclusively right or wrong. However, person C is clearly wrong, and both A and B, rightfully, think he is wrong, and probably an idiot.

The discussions in which people make this mistake are usually about religion. We have history of thinking we should be respectful (long history) and tolerant (short history) of religious beliefs, but in this day and age, when otherwise normal people are confidently asserting that the entirety of the world is an unusually-shaped turnip, there's nothing wrong with pointing out that their opinion is WRONG, and that standing by it in the face of education and evidence IS idiotic.

In conclusion, only respect respectable opinions. There very often IS such a thing as a wrong answer, and we don't want to encourage a society in which we can't even discriminate against incompetence.

Back to poker - I came 80th out of the 668 runners in the LEOCOP main event. That meant 9 hour's play and a 4.30am finish to miss the money by 10 places. Across 8 tournaments I spent $1804 on buy-ins, and won $848 cash, so an overall loss of $956+many hours of evening leisure time. I did, however, manage 1 of my goals, which was to get a place in the top 80 of the leader-board (I finished 65th). That awarded entry into a tournament for a Poker Million semi-final seat apparantly worth $120,000. That values the seat at $1500, so I could say I'm up $544 in expected value.

All my furniture is now in place in my new flat and we have moved everything in, unfortunately my lovely new office is also where everything is being dumped to keep the lovely new living-room and bedroom tidy while we are sorting everything out. Once its sorted I might see if I can get a few nice photos to put on here.

19 days left in November and I haven't had chance to make a proper start on the cash tables yet. I'm going to try to place at least 20,000 hands and win $15k. The idea of $40k targets I mentioned before is going to have to wait until I have a clear month to dedicate to it.

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November 06, 2008

6th November

Blog by : Alexdb
0

For the last 6 days I have been moving house and building furniture, so I haven't played much poker except for a few of the LEOCOP tournaments.

They have mostly been really depressing; here are the results so far:

LEOCOP Sunday Opening Tournament, $390, 171/440, no prize

LEOCOP $50 Re-Buy, $155, 143/417, no prize

LEOCOP DADDY 1, $330, 120/283, no prize

LEOCOP Beat the Team, $42, 341/498, no prize

LEOCOP DADDY 2, $330, 16/281, $849

LEOCOP PL Championship, $420, 125/167, no prize

I've spent $1,804 including satellites and won $849. BUT, I do have $2000 worth of entries still to play at no further cost, and I think I'll feel much happy playing the heads-up and 6-max than all the soul-destroying 10 seat games. At least they now have antes in all games keeping the average stacks a bit deeper in relation to the blinds.

In the Daddy 2 I lost with AA to AKs for 9% of the chips in play (would have taken me to 12%) when there were still 20 players left, and then I lost the rest with AK vs 99. In the previous Daddy I lost with AKo vs AKs in similar but smaller-scale circumstances. All the others were card dead waiting for a double up and then failing to win at showdown once I got it in. I realised I had one leak of opening up too much in position just after getting a decent stack - just going crazy for antes once I think I can afford it, so now I have a rule that I cannot open anything I wouldn't raise in the same position in a 6max cash game.

I think its unfortunate I had to miss the O8 and PLO, because I bet these were the softest fields around in a $300+ tourney.

At least I have made 1 small entry onto the LEOCOP leaderboard, I felt like the extra 150 points may be significant in addition to 1 good result in the next two events.

I now have a second bedroom/office, and am no longer next to a main road, so hopefully this setting should lead to much more focused poker in the run-up to Christmas.

I am trying to decide whether to add sky HD to the new flat, so I might use that as an incentive/reward for a good place in this weekend's tournaments.

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October 28, 2008

24th - 28th October

Blog by : Alexdb
0

On Friday I swapped the cash games for playing all of the low stakes MTTs on Ladbrokes as a 'warm-up' for the LEOCOP. I figured that it had been a really long time since I'd played an online tournament, and I should take a while to reacclimatise to things like how quickly the blinds increase, and how soul-sappingly slow 10-handed poker plays.

I started around 11am and by 1pm I couldn't take it anymore, and stopped registering for new tournaments. I ended up playing 10 small MTTs, 2 places, 1 bounty, and 1 win, and finished incredibly thankful that cash games have 3 streets of betting, and, sometimes, more than two levels of thought.

Some people may question practicing for 3-figure buy-in events with a $5 tourney, but I thought it was better than nothing, and in all likelihood a tournament donk was a tournament donk however much they could afford to play for. Once the tournament I won got to 7 handed I was being criticised in chat by the other 6 players for not letting them play properly! They had around 10bbs each to my 50, so I was probably shoving about a 50% range, stealing a huge amount of antes, and occasionally winning or losing a race with a weak hand. I expect the satellites put similar players in the LEOCOP tourneys, so spotting them and shoving widely is probably the thing to do.

Sunday was the 1st event - $150 with $75 rebuys, and although I got off to a decent start, up to about 11k, I card dead from there. Some steals kept me in a while, until I shoved JJ in mid position for around 14bbs (antes in play) and got called by KQs in the big blind.

Monday's was the $50 rebuy and I again got off to a decent start, wasn't as card dead this time, and got up to about 12k before losing two flips in a row to shorter stacks to know me back down to 5k. Push-bot play kept me between 3.5k and 6k until the 250/500/50 level, and then I won a race with the worst hand to get back to around 12k.

The interesting make-break hand; folded to me in the small blind, big blind has 6.7k behind, 1200 in the pot. He's a decent cash-game player and has 3 tight players to his left, so I figure he will not call a shove lightly hoping he can shove his button and cut-off and pick up risk free antes rather than racing. So I decide it's a shove with any hand, shove J4o, get called by KQo and lose. I still think the logic is sound, but would be interested to hear if tournament experts disagree.

I got my remaining 4k in with Ako against AKs and lost to a flush, so it's 0 for 2 so far.

I estimate that total buy-ins for these events will be around 4k more (after already winning free entry to some), probably just under, so winning at least that is the primary target for these 15 tournaments. I'll probably not get to play all 15 because I'm moving house from Friday and may need a night off, but I'm hoping I only drop something like the fixed limit event and the $20 rebuy.

During last night's event I played the $10 O8b, to remind myself of the rules and was genuinely amazed at how badly everyone plays it. I know the buy-in is different but again I'd actually be surprised if that made a difference, I'll reread a few books and watch a CR vid if there is one beforehand, so the O8b LEOCOP event should be a really good chance for a cash.

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October 23, 2008

23rd October

Blog by : Alexdb
0

I just wrote a long and informative post, then hit the question mark box by one of the options on the publishing form, and it deleted it all just to blank screen.

So now I'm fed-up and all I can post are the hand histories from last thing Tuesday, and today's graph:

$10/$20 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com


Stacks:

UTG AMO1872 ($1832.00)
UTG 1 Hero ($2244.00)
CO Samuel123 ($3155.00)
BTN Vo2Max ($2545.50)
SB mamma8 ($3505.52)
BB hager ($2263.50)


Pre-flop: ($30, 6 players) Hero is UTG 1

1 fold, Hero raises to $70, Samuel123 calls $70, Vo2Max calls $70, mamma8 calls $60, 1 fold

Flop: ($300, 4 players)
mamma8 checks, Hero checks, Samuel123 bets $260, Vo2Max calls $260, mamma8 calls $260, Hero raises to $1130, Samuel123 folds, Vo2Max calls $870, mamma8 folds

Turn: ($3080, 2 players)
Hero bets $1044, Vo2Max calls $1044

River: ($5168, 2 players)

Final Pot: $5168
Vo2Max shows:
Hero shows:

Hero wins $5165 ( won $2921 )
Samuel123 lost -$330.00
Vo2Max lost -$2244.00
mamma8 lost -$330.00

$10/$20 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com


Stacks:

UTG mamma8 ($3369.52)
UTG 1 hager ($2201.00)
CO AMO1872 ($1910.00)
BTN Hero ($5022.00)
SB Maharishi ($1970.00)
BB Vo2Max ($2194.00)


Pre-flop: ($30, 6 players) Hero is BTN

3 folds, Hero raises to $70, Maharishi raises to $220, 1 fold, Hero calls $150

Flop: ($460, 2 players)
Maharishi bets $300, Hero raises to $750, Maharishi raises to $1750, Hero calls $1000

Turn: ($3960, 2 players)

River: ($3960, 2 players)

Final Pot: $3960
Maharishi shows:
Hero shows:

Maharishi wins $3957 ( won $1987 )
Hero lost -$1970.00

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October 21, 2008

21st October

Blog by : Alexdb
0

Took a shot at 10/20 today because a 70/15 fish was sat there, but couldn't hit a flop and lost two buy-ins from standard hands, including one all-in on the flop with flush draw, gutshot and overcard, so the session could have gone either way. Luckily at the bottom of my $5k collapse one of the regulars came to my rescue and along with some running-good topped my roll back up near even. I think the day's graph speaks for its self :)

He was really keen to continue playing against me, and I have no idea why. We were sat at a 6 seat table and he kept asking fishy players to leave. I don't think he is a terrible player and we would have both been better 3 handed with a fish, but I think his heads up game is kind of weak, and today he became my biggest sponsor for this year almost $10k down to me.

I'm pleased I managed to get 2000 hands in because I was having a bad month volume-wise. I turned the brightness on my monitor right down and I think that has really helped my concentration.

Regarding my excel-study, I'll copy what I posted on THM forum, I managed to generate a bit of discussion there.

s1ngularity wrote:
I think he is just trying to find a mathematically unexploitable preflop range but I don't think it can be done. Long term it may work but if you are going to starting calling off with A7ss preflop just because someone has a high 3bet freq in a session I think you are going to get f*cked. I prefer to look at what someone shows down when they have 3bet pf to get a better range for them rather than just the frequency, but I guess thats because I dont use software, I'm probably wrong but whatever.

I am hoping to learn results like, for example, re-raising and calling off with A7s might be better than raise-folding 75o at the times when for other reasons you know you should be increasing your 4-betting.

In a similar example, I approximately modelled re-raising a 35% button opener from the blinds with a 10% range. If he either 4 bets or folds (I have played such opponents), the best shoving range against a typical 4-bet range was tight, something expected like AKo+,QQ+, and this was overall $1/hand better than folding from the blind initially.

BUT, if he 4 bets roughly optimally we need to widen our range to maximise profit, so we shove 99+, AQ+ for profit of 90c/hand.

The thing is that if we have misjudged his 4betting range, he could be exploiting the overly tight one by bluffing us often. If we use the 2nd range we may be giving up 10c/hand, but in return for that 10c we know that no matter how he plays we can't fail to recover around 87c/hand, and that's if he plays perfectly. 1 slip-up and we are well into the green.

His only response is opening less, meaning we get more walks, or cold calling meaning we often keep the initiative.

I'm not saying using psychology isn't better when you have it, but I think there are times when you know you may be being out-'levelled' where knowing shoving widely is a safe haven could really help.

Being seen to shove 99/AQ over a 4bet is probably good for image too. It makes me think the maths is correct because I think I would struggle to judge opening/4betting/calling against such a player. Its basically like taking your opponents bluff-4-betting tool right out of his arsenal, because you're getting it in too often once you have 3 bet to let him bluff, but his good hands don't come around often enough to take advantage of it.

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October 16, 2008

Regarding capital punishment...

Blog by : Alexdb
0

I had an idea in the shower a few weeks ago about a design for an effective system of capital punishment. I had been meaning to write it down, when this thread reminded me of it: http://www.thehendonmob.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=24024&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=15

I should point out haven't studied this subject in any depth, so it's just a logical framework that meets the popular criticisms I have heard in standard pub-debates - poor deterrence and false positives.

So here's the logical leap, the capital offences are the minor crimes, but they carry a very low chance of the sentence being carried out, in fact to be punished in full you also have to be convicted of a major life-sentence type crime.

Here's how it works; a warning, booking, and then you're on a red card next. Or imagine that every innocent citizen is given an "Avoid Execution Free" card (certainly not "Get Out Of Jail Free", though). For their first crime they are warned, and for their 2nd crime they have to hand back the card. After that, capital crimes are capital.

Again, a first time shoplifter is arrested and punished just as now, with the addition of a full description of the punishment regime for future crimes, if caught shoplifting a 2nd time it's the usual punishment but in addition he now knows that if he is later convicted of murder, rightly or wrongly, he will be executed.

We now have a capital deterrence for minor crime, because if convicted of murder they'll be executed, losing their 40 years' appeal time, even if they didn't do it.

And we have an approximately zero chance of executing an innocent person, because if you had a clean slate (or just one minor offence) at the murder conviction the sentence will be life in prison. If you had already committed two offences it doesn't matter if you actually committed the murder, you are serving the jackpot sentence for shoplifting.

In order for this execution to create a moral dilemma we need to envision three, separate, wrongful convictions. I think that is a low enough probability to go ahead and save all the money we spend giving criminals room and board for their last 50 years.

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October 16, 2008

14th-16th October

Blog by : Alexdb
0

Spent the whole of yesterday painting or building flat-pack furniture for the flat I am letting.

If you know anyone that wants a 2-bed in Greenwich check it out - http://www.gumtree.com/london/00/28093400.html. I might be the only landlord in London that understands whether pokertacker stats can form a valid reference!? (Or at least that winning poker affords big deposits :) )

Its a shame I couldn't get better photos but by the time I had finished putting the furniture together the light had gone, so I'll probably get back there this weekend at mid-day with a better camera.

Not sure which poker session I last wrote about, so here is October, grouped by days, so far:

I finished reading through CTS' 2006 blog and feel fully motivated to get to a $100,000 month in another 3 months. Although if we compare the hands per day we each play it will probably be more like a year. Sometimes when reading that blog I wonder what I am doing wrong to never have $10k days, but this months overall results show that, in theory, if I could play 5k hands in a day then I could be winning that sort of money. Unfortunately there is no chance I have the concentration for that.

I am moving flat at the end of the month to some where that will hopefully have much less traffic noise, so I am hopinh to discover that the noise made it harder to play for long. In addition I'm going to look into anything else that might let me put in more hours while continuing to play my A-game. 20 hours in 1/2 a month does seem to be quite a poor effort. We will have a second bedroom - so an office, in the new flat, and I have been told that this is great for psychology too, so I look forward to finding out.

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October 13, 2008

13th October

Blog by : Alexdb
0

No play over the weekend, local pub Friday night and very lazy weekend mostly spent watching Terminator 1 and 2. This was because Hannah had never seen them, and still didn't want to. So first I had to watch her choice "She's The One" (less painful than others she subjected me too but not a recommendation), then we grudingly got T1 into the DVD player.

After about 20 mins was the revalation:

"this IS great, isn't it- why haven't more people seen it??"

"EVERYONE else has seen it - probably a few times"

So then watched T2 straight after, then T1 again the next day. Hopefully this will ease-up our Lovefilm.com choices, which were previously either from the "Undisputed greats list", or "Hannah's list".

A good day of poker today, only 4 hours and 1300 hands though. +$3,900, around $1300 above expectation.

Had a few interesting hands, including starting off the first hand of my evening session with probably the easiest decision in Hold'em:

***** Hand History for Game 1063602265 *****
$800.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, October 13, 09:40:06 ET 2008
Table H1JOHN (Real Money)
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: Alexdb ( $800.00 USD )
Seat 3: deuce2 ( $800.00 USD )
Seat 4: mybrother ( $500.30 USD )
Seat 5: itsnotme ( $800.00 USD )
Seat 6: Tuff1Fish ( $792.00 USD )
Tuff1Fish posts small blind [ $4.00 USD ].
Alexdb posts big blind [ $8.00 USD ].
Dealt to Alexdb [ ]
RAISE deuce2, $32.00 USD
RAISE mybrother, $112.00 USD
RAISE itsnotme, $800.00 USD
Tuff1Fish folds
CALL Alexdb , $792.00 USD
deuce2 folds
mybrother folds

Flop:
[ ]

Turn:
[ ]

River:
[ ]
itsnotme shows [ ]
Alexdb shows [ ]
Alexdb wins $1746 .00 USD from main pot

I think the next hand was interesting because it shows a big adjustment from the standard line (bet/raise/bet/etc) to account for the other 2 players' different styles.

***** Hand History for Game 1063288305 *****
$800.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, October 13, 11:41:15 ET 2008
Table Kobe (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 2: Alexdb ( $822.00 USD )
Seat 3: SykoAce ( $586.52 USD )
Seat 4: onemagicru ( $1165.84 USD )
Seat 5: tinkeri ( $1184.04 USD )
onemagicru posts small blind [ $4.00 USD ].
tinkeri posts big blind [ $8.00 USD ].
Dealt to Alexdb [ ]
RAISE Alexdb , $28.00 USD
CALL SykoAce, $28.00 USD
RAISE onemagicru, $44.00 USD
tinkeri folds
CALL Alexdb , $20.00 USD
CALL SykoAce, $20.00 USD

Both players are bad-erratic, so the min-raise could be anything.


Flop:
[ ]
BET onemagicru, $40.00 USD
CALL Alexdb , $40.00 USD
CALL SykoAce, $40.00 USD

I don't like raising here because onemagicru c-bets the turn 75% of the time, and both opponents are bad, with wide ranges, and I don't want to raise when it might convince them to pass their one pair hands and dead straight draws. If a flush hits and they have it I guess I'll often get the chips in anyway (esp with the Qc backup), so I may as well optimise the ways they can get chips in badly.

Turn:
[ ]
BET onemagicru, $136.00 USD
CALL Alexdb , $136.00 USD
CALL SykoAce, $136.00 USD

Now I like raising even less, because this is a scare card for all their 1 pair hands and straight draws - so it would be a good card to bluff. Calling makes sure SykoAce sees 'good' pot odds, and I think I will have better equity in a 3 way pot than a 2 way pot since they will call so lightly and won't have as many outs as they may think.


River:
[ ]
BET onemagicru, $208.00 USD
CALL Alexdb , $208.00 USD
CALL SykoAce, $208.00 USD

I was surprised he fired the third barrel and started to think he may have had the flush, or at least that raising would only get called by flushes, so again I just called to encourage the overcall.


onemagicru shows [ ]
Alexdb shows [ ]
SykoAce doesn't show [ ]
Alexdb wins $1302 .00 USD from main pot

If I could see their cards I'd obviously have raised the turn, but I think that minimising my agression would keep the majority of the wide ranges in the pot to the river, and winning 1/2 a stack off each most of the time is better than getting the pot heads up to win 1 stack some of the time.

I finally got hold of a copy of this month's "Inside Poker" magazine today, which is significant because it marks my debut as a journalist! Page 64 "Paths to Profit" is my piece.

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October 10, 2008

10th October

Blog by : Alexdb
0

A couple of interesting hands today...

In this first hand though the villain can only really have pairs TT and below by the river (except for the rare J - although I thought he may have raised the flop or turn with a J), so even though its a 'blank' I thought its a good 3rd barrel since my line is aggressive at every stage, consistent with KK/AA:

$800.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Friday, October 10, 11:36:52 ET 2008
Table H1JOHN (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: Alexdb ( $1390.00 USD )
Seat 6: flintbro ( $1033.47 USD )
flintbro posts small blind [ $4.00 USD ].
Alexdb posts big blind [ $8.00 USD ].
Dealt to Alexdb [ ]
RAISE flintbro, $24.00 USD
RAISE Alexdb , $88.00 USD
CALL flintbro, $68.00 USD

Flop:
[ ]
BET Alexdb , $120.00 USD
CALL flintbro, $120.00 USD

Turn:
[ ]
BET Alexdb , $260.00 USD
CALL flintbro, $260.00 USD

River:
[ ]
BET Alexdb , $914.00 USD
flintbro folds
Alexdb wins $1865.00 USD from main pot

At the time it didn't occur to me quite how great a 'blank' the J was - because it even invalidated the most likely nut-hands; 44 and 88, while making holding a J even less likely. Essentially we are right back to comparing preflop strength, and I had represented the most back then. After timing down, villain said he passed 44, so I guess I hit a 2-outer to actually win this pot, and dodged a load of cards that seem like good 3rd barrels that ensure I lose the lot.

Here is one for anyone worried that games aren't good anymore. Against most people this shove would be bad, and I wasn't even sure it was OK against an erratic unknown (I had only played a few hands with him at this point):

***** Hand History for Game 1061657261 *****
$1000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Friday, October 10, 11:10:46 ET 2008
Table Wagga Wagga (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Seat 1: Nathalie91 ( $995.00 USD )
Seat 2: Thing_1 ( $1083.00 USD )
Seat 3: swordofgod ( $3337.84 USD )
Seat 4: Alexdb ( $1000.00 USD )
Seat 5: Diddlydoo ( $3842.70 USD )
Seat 6: NoMorePlease ( $2664.43 USD )
swordofgod posts small blind [ $5.00 USD ].
Alexdb posts big blind [ $10.00 USD ].
Dealt to Alexdb [ ]
Diddlydoo folds
NoMorePlease folds
Nathalie91 folds
Thing_1 folds
RAISE swordofgod, $25.00 USD
RAISE Alexdb , $95.00 USD
CALL swordofgod, $75.00 USD

Flop:
[ ]
BET swordofgod, $157.00 USD
RAISE Alexdb , $384.00 USD
RAISE swordofgod, $454.00 USD
RAISE Alexdb , $511.00 USD
CALL swordofgod, $284.00 USD

Turn:
[ ]

River:
[ ]
Alexdb shows [ ]
swordofgod doesn't show [ ]
Alexdb wins $1997 .00 USD from main pot

The insta-bluff-min-4-bet is an unusual one, and made this next hand much easier to play:

***** Hand History for Game 1061658849 *****
$800.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Friday, October 10, 11:16:47 ET 2008
Table Keats (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Seat 1: swordofgod ( $800.00 USD )
Seat 2: Diddlydoo ( $965.44 USD )
Seat 3: deuce2 ( $1573.16 USD )
Seat 4: Alexdb ( $1352.50 USD )
Seat 5: CRAFTYCHRIS6 ( $515.00 USD )
Seat 6: Nathalie91 ( $1740.30 USD )
deuce2 posts small blind [ $4.00 USD ].
Alexdb posts big blind [ $8.00 USD ].
Dealt to Alexdb [ ]
CALL CRAFTYCHRIS6, $8.00 USD
Nathalie91 folds
RAISE swordofgod, $29.00 USD
Diddlydoo folds
deuce2 folds
RAISE Alexdb , $96.00 USD
CRAFTYCHRIS6 folds
CALL swordofgod, $75.00 USD

Flop:
[ ]
BET Alexdb , $110.00 USD
RAISE swordofgod, $400.00 USD
RAISE Alexdb , $1138.50 USD
swordofgod folds
Alexdb wins $1865.50 USD from main pot

Finished up 1 stack today making 10 for the month so far, new target is 40!

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October 09, 2008

6th-9th Oct

Blog by : Alexdb
0

I'm not sure if I have enough to write about to post here every day, so I'm going to try grouping a few days or a week. That way I'll have played more hands and have more poker-related things to say.

I just followed a link to CTS' old blog, and have been reading that this time in 2006 he was setting himself a $100k/month target playing stakes of 10/20 or less. I'm currently playing 5/10 or below, so I wonder if I am under-selling myself to only have a target of something like 15k-25k. Perhaps like in certain areas of sport, knowing a target is possible in theory means it becomes possible to manage it.

I'm fairly sure I can't have a comparable 50k target because I can't play long sessions (my results nose-dive after 1 hour, except, possibly, when playing just one table heads-up) and could never play as many hands in a month, and while my bb/100 is the same, I am winning that by table selecting well and only playing 4 tables, so I doubt it is that scalable.

But, I do find that whenever I have targets in mind, and then reach them, my motivation disappears. I don't play anywhere near the same number of 1 hour sessions in a week. So, over the next few months I'm going to see if I can have at least one $40k month, and always have $25k as a minimum-target.

This month has got off to a good start: +$9,500 in 3000 hands (only 3k hands in 3 working-days though) running almost 3k above expectation, so it's a good starting-block for re-calibrating my targets.

A lot of it was heads-up against 1 regular. I ran well at the start, and he clearly felt I was outplaying, because he started opening right up. In fact, all I had been doing was hitting a lot of flops and value-betting, and that meant that was all I had to keep doing:

***** Hand History for Game 1060554884 *****
$1000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, October 08, 10:57:21 ET 2008
Table Dymlingen (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Seat 1: Alexdb ( $3224.00 USD )
Seat 4: Globas ( $1000.00 USD )
Alexdb posts small blind [ $5.00 USD ].
Globas posts big blind [ $10.00 USD ].
Dealt to Alexdb [ ]
RAISE Alexdb , $25.00 USD
RAISE Globas, $80.00 USD
CALL Alexdb , $60.00 USD

Flop:
[ ]
BET Globas, $130.00 USD
RAISE Alexdb , $320.00 USD
RAISE Globas, $780.00 USD
CALL Alexdb , $590.00 USD

Turn:
[ ]

River:
[ ]
Globas shows [ ]
Alexdb shows [ ]
Alexdb wins $1999 .00 USD from main pot

I am waiting for Excel 2007 to arrive in the post because I have been thinking through a spreadsheet to try to solve a small element of regular play that I suspect is solvable and worth the work. I'm not sure I'm going to go further into that yet though, especially if it turns out to be as useful to my game as I think it might. I will post some results if I get to test it out.

Outside of poker I am thinking of applying to work as a magistrate. It's a voluntary job, a few days a year, and I'm sure it would look good on a C.V. if I need to return to work. I also think I would be good at it since it's a practical application of logic/evidence evaluation/etc, and I think I would really enjoy helping pass judgment down onto petty criminals. For some reason petty crime really annoys me, probably more than 'proper' crimes. Its like in football, I'm far more annoyed by a player moving 10 yards forward while taking a throw-in than tackling too hard, and if I was a referee that's when I'd be showing the cards.

I might also apply for a position on the Independent Police Complaints board, but I think I'm a lot less likely to be successful there because they appear to want past experience of similar hearings.

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