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This
Saturday August 18th begins a new season of the English Premier League.
As you know, I really enjoyed my first season playing Fantasy Premier
League (12 Things I Learned) and I'm back for a second go. Chris "CashOutCasssius" Weldon has set up a new private league and we are looking for some new players to join us.
As
incentive for those select few up for the challenge of a 9 month season
of fantasy soccer/football, I thought I would share some thoughts and
resources that may help you prosper. I'm assuming the audience who might
play understands the basics of fantasy football where you select 15
players with your £100m budget and score points based off their
performance.
1. Strategy
- Much like poker, there are many ways to approach selecting your team
and managing your budget. With 20 teams and well over 400 players, the
myriad of combinations are nearly endless. With one weekly transfer
allowed without penalty, and additional transfers at 4 points each,
your team shouldn't remain static. Your team will suffer if you aren't
continually adjusting it in the face of changing player form and injury,
player value and rotation. Last year I used my flexible wildcard to do a
complete makeover of my team quite early when things started off quite
poorly. This year I hope to keep the wildcard for later in the season
take advantage of possible double gameweeks or later season
considerations. Different approaches are healthy to consider but must be
regularly re-evaluated as the season progresses.
2. Loyalty to results, not players
- One of the strong lessons I learned last year was to abandon previous
team and player preferences rather basing my choices on more objective
performance statistics. Being too loyal or stubborn due to personal
likes and dislikes can seriously harm your results.
3. Pick Likely Starters
- Only players who are playing score points, so it's very important to
pick players who play regularly. There are lots of great players who
only play occasionally, often because they are on stacked big club
rosters so they won't score you points regularly enough to warrant their
inclusion. That includes your intended subs, who may be subbed in if
your selected starters don't play.
4. Rotation -
One successful method of player management is to establish a rotation
of players rather than relying on singular top players. Because almost
all teams and players perform better in home matches, that is a key part
of your strategy to select your starters from those who are playing at
home or against weak opponents. Advanced players learn to set up
calculated alternating rotations of players (e.g. goalkeepers, defense
etc.)
5. Invest where the points are - Looking
at the historical numbers, the top midfielders and forwards score more
in the FPL point scheme than top defenders and goalkeepers, so it makes
sense to invest more of your budget on those players who have a greater
likelihood of scoring more.
6. Plan ahead
- Much like chess, planning several weeks and moves ahead can help your
team. I looked at the first 5-6 weeks of match-ups before determining
my initial team, trying to factor in some of the anticipated transfers
and budget considerations during that time. I notice other players often
only look at an absolute player's quality, but not enough on their game
location and opponent quality.
7. Captaincy -
Although I feel the weight of a captain's score being doubled is too
great, it forces you to manage your team accordingly. You must select
that player who you think will scored the highest that week if you are
to do well. So last season, anyone who didn't have runaway top goal
scorer Robin Van Persie for most of the season greatly suffered.
Sometimes it makes your team less creative and fun, but those are the
rules we play by.
8. Be flexible
- Both before the season and during the January trading window, it is
necessary to watch closely who comes and goes from clubs. For instance,
Wayne Rooney has been a top performer for Manchester United for years,
but if the rumored Robin Van Persie move occurs it could have
significant effect on both Arsenal and Man United fantasy player
results.
There
are many other tips to help you excel in fantasy football, but probably
the best I can share is to utilize the expertise and insight of those
even more passionate than yourself. There are a number of good sites
that focus on different aspects of the fantasy football experience. I
visit them regularly to read their thoughts and those of their
passionate members who constantly discuss the best moves to make as the
season progresses.
http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk - Best articles and comment suggestions for fantasy football purists
http://www.whoscored.com - Strong EPL football statistics site
http://www.totalfpl.com/ - Good consolidated news source and player valuation movements
http://www.fiso.co.uk/crackthecode.php - Best site to view player valuation upcoming changes
http://www.101greatgoals.com - Great source to see goal and game video highlights quickly
http://premierleaguefantasy.blogspot.ca - Solid fantasy football analysis blog
http://www.fantasygaffer.com - Solid fantasy football analysis blog
http://www.zonalmarking.net - Solid fantasy football analysis blog
http://www.nevermanagealone.com/ - Solid fantasy football analysis blog
http://www.fantasyfootballgeek.co.uk - Solid fantasy football analysis blog
Good
luck this season. I hope to see a few of you join our CardRunners
league and engage in some friendly banter and team support.
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