My biggest losing hand this week has been QQ, I'm down nearly 1 1/2 buyins over the last 10,000 hands. The largest portion of those loses come from shoving pf after being 4 bet by loose aggressive players. I quickly did some math on the matter and realized my play has negative expectation unless your opponent is willing to 4 bet with a range that includes JJ+, AKo, and AKs. The play then has a positive expectation but only by $17.32. However, this range is about 3% and to put into perspective, most players don't 3 bet more than 3% of the time. Even an extremely loose aggressive player will certainly have a 4 betting range that is smaller than 3%.

On a positive note, since I posted my analysis on playing AK preflop, I have profitably played both AK suited and offsuited for a couple buyins. I won't go too in depth, but many regulars still play AK preflop very badly and as a result I made over 300 bucks yesterday when 2 regulars shoved to my 4bet holding AK with stack sizes larger than 100bb.

Again, my stats are pretty solid, right in line with my 18.5/15ish style I am aiming for. The only two stats that worry me a little are my WSF (Won when seen flop) % and my Won at showdown %. The lower than usual WSF can be attributed to a lower flop aggression. This is something I will focus on in the coming week. I do usually cbet aggressively, but there has have been some cases this week where I've decided against it for a number of reasons.

I'm still trying to improve my Won $ at Showdown % but I'm having a little trouble. I feel like I still make a few marginal calls from time to time but I am working on improving that. My goal for next week is to maintain a SD % > 60%.

Lastly, here's my month to date/ 100nl graph so far: