Collin Moshman's Blog


January 31 2012

Turbo MTT Heads-Up Hand Analysis

0

Heads-up in the $33 turbo on Merge against a good reg:

Merge Network $3,000 Guaranteed Deepstack Turbo Freezeout No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t6000.00/t12000.00 Blinds + t1200.00 - 2 players

MeEatCookies: t429276.00 M = 21.04

TheMoshMan (BTN/SB): t190324.00 M = 9.33

Pre Flop: (t20400) TheMoshMan is BTN/SB with A of diamonds 2 of diamonds

TheMoshMan raises to t24277.00, MeEatCookies calls t12277

Flop: (t50954) 7 of hearts 7 of diamonds 3 of spades(2 players)

MeEatCookies checks, TheMoshMan bets t23777.00, MeEatCookies raises to t50000.00, Hero raises to t172047 all in, MeEatCookies folds

Final Pot: t150954

A comment on a recent video I made argued strongly to c-bet/call ace-high HU short-stacked on an 888 flop instead of checking back and calling turn. The benefits are that you give him a good opportunity to check/raise bluff at a time when you're almost always good on a dry flop, since a reg is super-likely to 3bet shove pre with better ace-highs or any pair. So in this spot, while occasionally he'll show up with Q3s, 75s, KK, etc., way more often he's bluffing with 9-high or something reasoning that I'm very likely to have missed and he's getting a good price on a check/raise bluff.

My initial plan had been to bet and call a check/shove, but when he c/r's small another option presents itself, namely flatting with the plan of letting him fire again. Since I'm usually giving him a 13% chance to hit 6 outs and win a large pot, and there's no guarantee he'll fire again, I think it's reasonable to just ship the flop even though it doesn't take much advantage of the fact that I have ace-high. Opinions?

[Credit to Otas32 for the image.]




www.TeamMoshman.com

Entry Tags:Merge Tournaments, Turbo MTT, TheMoshMan, MeEatCookies, Hand Analysis, AceHigh
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