Some run good and some not so run good

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Brian's Blog

February 25 2010

Some run good and some not so run good

I decided to hop back in the nose bleed games again as I saw some great action. I played Isildur1 a few days ago and had a nice session winning about 630k. I ran well which attributed to the large win.

I followed that up by just getting crushed for the past 3 or 4 days. I thought I have played well and made good decisions, but am still having very poor results. Its very frustrating for me as I can't figure out what mistakes I am making and what I should be doing differently.

So tonight I opened my HEM and checked my stats. Talk about depressing. Since December 1st I am down 3.55 million dollars in PLO and I should be up just in terms of all in EV. I feel like I have been on the bad end of alot of coolers as well which aren't shown in the Allin statistics. I don't really know what I can do differently. I probably haven't been playing my best for the past 3 months, but I think I have been playing well enough. I have been constantly analyzing hands looking for leaks.

Whats most frustrating is that I have been a small loser to a big winner in every other game in the 8 game mix. I find it incredibly frustrating to lose at -18bb/100 over 47k hands in my best game and in games I haven't played 47k hands of in my life I am winning. Maybe I need to withdraw what I have left online and just grind 400/800 mix games for a bit. I am not really sure what a good solution is.

Entry Tags:

4466 Views | Comments(14)

February 25,2010

Sounds like you are questioning your PLO game when in reality you are just running bad. However, once your confidence has been hit--it is going to mess with your mind while playing. Therefore, I would grind out some hands at 25/50 PLO or wherever you can play without losing your mind if you run bad--or play the mix games which you are still enjoying the learning aspect (and winning!). Sometimes, you have to put happiness ev over $ev...and in this case--I think moving down while you may not be playing your best is optimal.

Just my .02

cincy_swag

February 25,2010

Solution: run better at PLO

Ted_Maul6

February 25,2010

does anyone in the highest stakes PLO games win at a consistent rate without having these type of swings? If i were looking to feel better about a variance downswing that's what I would be looking for.

snakeater

February 25,2010

Withdrew a lot of your roll and grind it up. I think your downswing is 95% variance (and everyone tilts / makes mistakes 5% of the time anyway). I'm sure you're very financially secure, but it never hurts to withdraw and say, "this is profit that I can't lose."

Once you've grinded some decent reserves up online take another shot and your confidence will be back, even if you're game is close to identical to what it is now.

Could be worse man, could be worse.

Privacy

February 25,2010

LOL at my drunken grammar in the previous post.

Privacy

February 25,2010

I say "flip it"..Ask ziggy or ivey to flip some PLO 200k a hand for 30 minutes.

Its just money, its not your balls!!!

lol

streetfamep

February 25,2010

makes sense when your playing so high remember galfond said you should have at least 10 mil to be rolled for those games, not like your playing 500 1 k all the time but if your playing 2 4 or 36 with 400 k on the table on 4 tables vs guys like iilsdur you pretty much need 10 mil

DBKKK

February 25,2010

Why do you assume you are doing something wrong? The skill factor is close to negligible in the number of hands we are talking about here. If you run bad in PLO at those stake the risk of ruin is unacceptable hughe. Stay away from those game or be prepared to lose it all.

HariSeldon

February 25,2010

if you overdo things the only person you will defeat is yourself

wilneedheart

February 26,2010

Even if PLO variance is known to be huge I still think it´s way underated how huge it is.

3bet pot 100bb stacks 3bet call u dont need much hit on flop to stick it in there in the middle. Your highstakes opponents know this too. 33% is good enough vs pot size bet. Maybe you should do a mathematical analyze how huge variance this can create. It has to be so massive, And your opponents will rape you if you donÂ´t stick it in. As someone mentioned here I think you need to be prepared to loose 10m as Galfond has stated to be rolled for those games.

fisherman112

February 26,2010

Play live

Totals

February 26,2010

Hey Brian,

I doubt you'll have the chance to even read this but I was hoping that you could help a fellow person from Santa Barbara out. I'm engaged to my beautiful fiance' and we are entered in this wedding contest. Well... we need votes! I was hoping that you could throw a shout out in your blog for us and give them the link to get us some votes. I was born and raised in Santa Barbara so you'd be helping a local out too! I think we have a great love story. The jist of it is that I weighed 421 pounds and my fiance was my health educator who helped me lose over 220 pounds! Check out the link for more about our story and hopefully you can help me out and throw it in your blog.

http://www.ultimateweddingcontest.com/entries/25951

Thank you SOOO MUCH!

Gary

cats yearnin

February 28,2010

Hi!

Not sure You really read these comments, but any way. From my experience (playing significanlty lower of course :) ) these downswings are even healthy - the point is that even for the best players results are fluctuating with tendency do go up in the long term. When You are in your "recesion phase" and hit buttom You start questioning everything, inclooding Yourself. This is time, when Your priority is understanding what is wrong and what can You do better. Only this is period when You think of the game, not play it. Because of above said, You start thinking about things that were "common knowledge" before. And only during this thinking process You get yourself to a next level. This is how it is with me at least :) I can for sure say - downswings are pain it the as*, but Iam thankful for them, since each time I getmyself out of one recesion phase I am a much better player than before - because I have eliminated leaks which I did not even thought before
So maybe this is time for You to get Your game to a next level (Just not very sure there is next level at levels You play :) )

Good luck.

KingJu1ian

March 01,2010

On the up side, at least Hastings didn't take you for 4mil.

ManWithBrisk

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