Balbomb's Blog


June 27 2012

CR Videos, Big Poker Day, Upcoming UFC

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Hey guys, just got back from my wife's cousin's wedding. Was really great except for the awful experience with United Airlines, never fly that company, I have now had two flights outright canceled by them and another delayed 6 hours out of 5 flights. Anyway, I just learned earlier today that there were problems with my leakfinder video. In particular the footage simply did not live up to the quality of Cardrunners in terms of the production quality. I am very sorry for this and this will not happen again. Also please check out my other release this week that deals with absolutely everything I know and believe in when it comes to cbetting. I think it is one of my best videos and certainly one of the most information heavy, I hope you enjoy it.

Recently, I like a lot of online players have really struggled with the current landscape of online poker. I probably wasted about 6 months immediately following FTP problems last April by feeling sorry for myself which I have talked about a lot in this blog. From there I have had up and down success both live and online, finishing with the last 2 and half months which have been the worst financially that I have ever faced in poker. It sort of hit me in the last week or so if I do not dedicate even more time and effort into my mental and overall game, I will not be playing poker for a living for that much longer. That realization actually has set me at ease a lot, realizing that I simply need to stop feeling sorry for myself, enjoy the fact that I play a game that I love for a living, and just grind my ass off. On the show Deadliest Catch, I heard one of the captains say "if you can't find the crab, you need to grind them", meaning that if you are not catching a lot, you just need to outwork everyone else. This obviously applies very well to poker and in cash games if you are not running well or playing your best, you need to make money by working harder than everyone else, grinding a lower winrate until the big upswing hits and your luck turns around. Today I had my first 4 figure day in about a month and a half, pretty sad for a guy that does this for a living, but I think this will be a huge turning point in my career. My mindset throughout the 4k hands was amazingly positive, and I think this new outlook can do nothing but good for me. Here are the losing hands:

http://weaktight.com/4802933

Certainly not an auto get it in spot, but the dynamics between all of the regulars at this table during the afternoon session was some of the most aggro I have ever seen at stakes below 400nl. This guy was mixing it up a lot despite some more mild stats (only 3betting 6% from button). I think I failed to take into account just how aggro to of the regs were at the table and how he was adjusting to them by playing very aggro but might not be playing the same style against me, as well as the fact that he could have just been running very hot to play as aggro as he was preflop. Not a big mistake but I think a small one.

http://weaktight.com/4802934

Another pretty close spot here. This was very early on in session, and with no important history he was 3betting 12% from button. I opted to get in TT here, which I think is a small mistake considering how polarized he likely is from this spot. I think I can profitably call and make better postflop decisions than he can.

http://weaktight.com/4802935

Ever see a reg call a 5bet AI with A7ss? Me neither. Definitely one of those poker moments I can build on though because for the first time in honestly months, I suffered a brutal suckout, and it didn't faze me one bit. I went on to win 4 or 5bi from this one crazy reg.

http://weaktight.com/4802936

Super standard play I think against a 40/3 over 20 hands. I was very excited to get a lot of money in on the flop and turn. On the river his timing was pretty weird and it spooked me enough to check back even though I think its really close between betting and checking back river. From now on I know a donk is very dangerous from this guy.

http://weaktight.com/4802937

Against an aggro fish, I think this is the best line, and even though he calls the flop with some Ax hands here, I think he has enough bluffs/overvaluing his one pair hands here to make this a profitable if not thin call

http://weaktight.com/4802938

Unlucky, I had notes on this guy he made the same play with Q8o in the past

weaktight.com/4802939

Worst call of the day here from me

http://weaktight.com/4802940

My reads were on today even if this one didn't pan out

http://weaktight.com/4802942

I wasn't planning on bluffing against a very call happy fish at all, but this board was simply too good to resist. I think there is some merit to potentially just shoving turn here, I need to think more about that.

http://weaktight.com/4802944

I think pretty standard by both of us here.

http://weaktight.com/4802945

FOLD PRE GRANT, I deserved to lose this one.

http://weaktight.com/4802946

Pretty standard here

http://weaktight.com/4802947

AK < AA

Next Saturday I am really looking forward to the UFC title fight between Anderson Silva and Chael Sonnen. Yes I know Silva is the greatest MMA fighter of all time, and Chael can be a pretty big asshole at times and is big time overmatched in skill, but this one is a must see. First here is a link to the first fight where Sonnen absolutely dominated 23 of the 25 minutes (I think he even had a 10-8 first round), but lost to an amazing triangle submission by Silva when both guys were near exhaustion.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mma-cagewriter/

The odds have Silva as about a -300 favorite, which I honestly think is quite low. When you combine that with the fact Silva is undefeated in the UFC, has lost probably 2 rounds in his career to anyone other than Sonnen, and his absolutely dominating overall record and skill set this seems like a no brainer. But this fight is exceptionally interesting. First of all, Sonnen is an absolute wrestling beast, he has trained with the US olympic team, and the only question mark ever about Anderson is that he might not be able to deal with dominant wrestlers (he lost 4 rounds to Sonnen in their first fight and lost the first round to Dan Henderson). Secondly there is some true hatred by both guys. Sonnen has made a living over insulting everyone even remotely connected to Silva, including his wife. This sort of hatred can definitely change fights and change gameplans. Realistically I would not be surprised if Silva knocks him out in 2 minutes, but I have rewatched the first fight many times and Sonnen had absolutely no problem taking him down every round. Either way you guys can't miss this fight, and please seek out any Chael Sonnen interview, the dude cracks me up definitely brings a WWE type hype to the fight. He also owns one of my favorite quotes of all time:


"Even if I thought I could get a submission I'm not laying underneath a grown man with my legs spread on worldwide T.V. Some guys subscribe to that theory but I am a Republican and we don't do that."

Salud!

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