Man, such a tough poker day. I lost
6bi which I sort of think is not the end of the world considering I
finished up stuck 10.5bi in EV. Realistically I am not even sure EV
totally describes just how terrible I ran during these two sessions.
After looking at the plays below, I know there are some things that
look like they were influenced from just how terrible I was running
which I suppose is to be expected. All things considered, I am not
disappointed at all though by my play, I just need things to turn
I decided to squeeze here primarily
because the utg+1 is a big fish and thought he would call with at
least the top 80% of his calling hands. The utg who also has a very
wide 3bet calling range in position I thought hit this board decently
well but I also thought that he would play any pair pretty
aggressively so that was the reason for my small bets on the flop and
turn. I was actually quite happy to see him shove the turn and
thought my play was successful but somehow A6ss was in his 3bet
calling range which was really shocking.
We are 160bbs deep here and I am sort
of in a tough spot. This is a player who definitely folds less than
most based on the above hand to 3bets. The nice thing with my actual
hand is the ability to make the nut flush which is huge against a
call happy guy in a deep pot. I think the flop and turn are both
pretty standard, his calling range on the flop is going to be pretty
wide (any flush draw, At offsuit, KT offsuit, QT suited, JT suited,
JT offsuit, 9Ts, 8Ts, maybe even 7Ts, 55-99, possibly 45ss and A4ss,
TT, JJ and a few floats. Outside of the floats I believe that the
turn calling range is just about the same and I think that we can
remove most of the underpairs and maybe keep 99 in there.
I was thinking his river range was:
Kqdd, Qjdd, Kjdd, Q9dd, Q8dd, J9dd, J8dd,
J7dd, 98dd, 97dd, 96dd, 87dd, 86dd, 85dd, 76dd, 65dd, A4cc, A4hh,
A4ss, JJ, 3 combos of TT, 2 combos of 99, 2 combos of QQ, Aqss, Qtss,
Qthh, Qtcc, 6 combos of AT offsuit, Atcc, Atss, Athh, 10 combos of
Jto, Jtcc, Jtss, Jthh, 10 combos of KT offsuit, Kthh, Ktcc, Ktss,
Qtss, Qthh, 6 combos of QT offsuit, T9hh, T9ss, T9cc, 2 combos of T9
offsuit, 2 combos of T8ss, 1 combo of T7 suited, 1 combo of 54ss.
So to categorize these to determine if
a regular bet or an overbet is more effective:
While I didn't have an amazing feel for
this player postflop, I know that his range is incredibly wider than
most in this same spot. Based on my poker instincts I thought that
because he calls a wide range preflop he is going to be far more
likely to call down with a Tx hand than most, but because he he has
so many Tx hands in his range I thought that an overbet would all but
ensure a fold from him with those hands. Additionally of the 8
combos of Qx that he has in his range, I do believe to an overbet he
can fold a large percentage of these because it looks like he is
going to be chopping at best here.
** It should be noted one of my friends
absolutely hates this river shove because he believes this guy is
calling a ton of Tx hands and never Qx. I disagree strongly but what
do you guys think?
Was happy to get in QQ but vs blinds
140bbs deep because of how aggro we were in these same positional
Man by far my worst play of the day,
and probably of the week. I was worried that he would be shoving
100% of rivers and would have a guessing game on river if it wasn't a
spade, but bottom line he has 99 just an overwhelming amount of the
time, if he turned a spade draw he bets the turn outright so often!!!
Just a terribly dumb play by me here.
QQ < AQ deepish
Lost AA in 3bet pot
QQ < AJ
I thought that he would be betting turn
here with a ton of different semi bluffs or just outright bluffs, I
was planning on calling down river on a total blank.
AK < QQ
My thought process on the turn here was
that the original 3better had an ace but that I could get him off the
hand on the turn by checkraising with my equity, but if I just called
I would be getting very little value from hitting my hand. The other
player in the hand was a fish, could have a wide range, and since I
believed very strongly that the 3better had an ace here, that left
very few combos of Ax for the fish to have so I thought this was a
pretty good play here.
AA < QQ
AA < T2o
I opted to turn my hand into a bluff,
and I think against his range this is quite a strong play. I just
think his overall range is so weak, I was trying to get him off an
overpair here, or potentially a complete bluff 3bet that river some
sort of a diamond, I really felt like his only calling range here was
some sort of Jd or Td. Really surprised he played KK with diamond
this way because I think very few people at this level are ever
capable of turning showdown value into a bluff and obviously its
impossible for me not to have some sort of showdown value.
Failed double barrel in 3bet pot
High double barrel frequency and he is
cbetting this sort of board so often that I thought floating out of
position would be profitable because he would triple barrel any of my
6 outs. I think my plan here is quite good and pretty unlucky that
he was value betting turn.
Frustration call here, I think I should
really just be folding turn
My best play in a really long time. So
I think I have attempted to make this
bluff a few times in the past and it is just really tough to get away
with. I think I make this a little too easy for my opponent to call
and I think that it opens me up to a few high level bluffs by better
players at bigger levels.