Alexdb's Blog


January 22 2009

On track for biggest month so far...

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I've won $26,478 so far this month. My previous best was last July; $26,569. And I'm only 2/3rds of the way throught the month!

Of course it could still go either way, and to be honest I'm probably due some bad luck. I'm running about $10k above expectation in all-in pots. Many were where I have semi-bluff shoved the flop or turn with 20-35% equity and got there, but I think I am also well ahead in pots in which I have got it in as a favourite and they haven't hit, and they all add up as well.

Its nice to note that if I had been running at expectation in those pots I'd be at $17k in almost as many hands, so I'm probably still playing at 10bb/100.


I'm still putting some time into learning Omaha. I've player about 1000 hands of 6-max breakeven, and 3000 hands of heads-up, down 7 buy-ins. My main issue at the moment is working out if I have been card-dead, or whether its typical to have no-pair-no-draw on almost every flop I play. Thats the puzzle for me at the moment - if we're both rarely flopping anything I want to bet, bet, bet a wide range, but my experience has been seeing call, call, call, with top-two+ almost every time.

I have actually found PLO really boring so far; I feel like I rarely make a hand and can rarely bluff, most pots are small and the big ones have been flips. Its probably a function of playing lower ($1/$2) but there isn't the same amount of action as hold'em on the flop since any bluff/semi-bluff/thin value bet gets picked off by a station calling and/or catching, so it seems like nobody does it.

I do realise that the paragraph above sounds like the sort of thing a hold'em fish might complain about, and I'd know how to adjust to a calling-station in hold'em and make a bigger winrate than against any other opponent, so I still expect this to have a happy ending.



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