I have played a few more hands of $10/$20 and continued to prove that moving up a level will never start of well for me. I'm just too unlucky for gambling. It's like the time I went to Vegas with work and decided that I ought to at least familiarize myself with a craps table. So I took $100, played $10 a bet for 10 losing bets and left without seeing anything happen except for the dealer dragging in my chips. This is why I can't ever enjoy roulette or blackjack; I'm just too unlucky! It's no fun at all to sit there handing your chips to the dealer while players that failed GSCE maths hit miracles all evening.

Here's my lifetime graph for $10/$20 so far. 892 hands, lost $10,904, all-in adjusted expectation for the period: $366 profit. So in less than my first 1000 hands, I am running 5 buy-ins below expectation. That's bad luck to the tune of -50bbs/100 for 10 periods. I was going to try to find out how many standard deviations from the mean that was, but don't have the tools/time right now. This site http://www.castrovalva.com/~la/winlose.htm , says that there is a 2.89% confidence I'm a winner given those numbers, so I guess the maths behind that means I'd fail the hypothesis test of winrate>0 at the 97% level., so this result must be well over 2 standard deviations from the mean, especially when I'm supposed to be playing 9bbs/100 not 0bbs/100.

This happened when I started $5/$10 as well and I'm sure the same happened at all other games or levels I started playing. It's like an initiation test to check I knew what I was getting in for; or a story in a bad film where someone is testing I have the confidence and will to be allowed to continue. Oh what it must be like to run hot when you move up.... Since only about 20 additional buy-ins are needed at each level, it's easy to see how the person that had the opposite luck to me could quickly have run up to 7 figures without even necessarily being a winner long term.

"Luckily" $4/$8 and $5/$10 have been good this month, so I only lost $1500 in total today and I'm, still up $12k for the month (but it "should be" $20k+)